Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.021292 0.023544 0.025792 0.028199 0.030698 0.033210 0.035923
2025-02-23 0.016812 0.020365 0.024040 0.028095 0.032418 0.036868 0.041772
2025-03-02 0.013837 0.018121 0.022682 0.027831 0.033427 0.039275 0.045806
2025-03-09 0.011689 0.016480 0.021716 0.027745 0.034397 0.041434 0.049371
2025-03-16 0.009601 0.014687 0.020405 0.027117 0.034632 0.042671 0.051818
2025-03-23 0.008269 0.013637 0.019822 0.027203 0.035564 0.044585 0.054920
2025-03-30 0.006877 0.012385 0.018910 0.026833 0.035916 0.045801 0.057198
2025-04-06 0.005538 0.011070 0.017836 0.026201 0.035910 0.046565 0.058930
2025-04-13 0.004105 0.009479 0.016326 0.024982 0.035171 0.046459 0.059652
2025-04-20 0.003595 0.009091 0.016268 0.025453 0.036346 0.048475 0.062701
2025-04-27 0.002789 0.008182 0.015495 0.025023 0.036443 0.049247 0.064338
2025-05-04 0.002029 0.007225 0.014599 0.024399 0.036279 0.049694 0.065584
2025-05-11 0.001544 0.006700 0.014334 0.024653 0.037279 0.051619 0.068673
2025-05-18 0.001009 0.005975 0.013778 0.024554 0.037890 0.053141 0.071362
2025-05-25 0.000562 0.005238 0.013139 0.024306 0.038288 0.054389 0.073715
2025-06-01 0.000266 0.004650 0.012657 0.024224 0.038861 0.055816 0.076250
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.003874 0.011819 0.023632 0.038778 0.056455 0.077862
2025-06-15 NaN 0.003465 0.011507 0.023713 0.039503 0.058023 0.080521
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002913 0.010902 0.023365 0.039674 0.058920 0.082392
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002320 0.010145 0.022769 0.039509 0.059401 0.083765
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001609 0.009036 0.021622 0.038613 0.058985 0.084078
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001481 0.009046 0.022065 0.039732 0.060969 0.087169
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001117 0.008492 0.021661 0.039747 0.061617 0.088693